A Physician Surplus?

Robert G. Hughes, Joseph M. Miller, William H. Anderson, William B. Schwartz, Daniel N. Mendelson, Frank A. Sloan, Ernest P. Schloss

Research output: Contribution to journalLetter

Abstract

To the Editor: Schwartz et al. (April 7 issue)1 use past trends to project physician requirements in 2000. Amid complex changes in medical care organization and financing, other ways of addressing the future, such as the exploration of alternative scenarios, may be more useful.2 These would focus more attention on the analysts' assumptions in the models and less on the models' numerical outputs. The risk of relying on the past to predict the future is exemplified in the authors' Table 1. They predict that the number of allopathic physicians not involved in patient care will increase by more than 50.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)954-956
Number of pages3
JournalNew England Journal of Medicine
Volume319
Issue number14
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 6 1988

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Medicine(all)

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'A Physician Surplus?'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Hughes, R. G., Miller, J. M., Anderson, W. H., Schwartz, W. B., Mendelson, D. N., Sloan, F. A., & Schloss, E. P. (1988). A Physician Surplus? New England Journal of Medicine, 319(14), 954-956. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM198810063191419