British Parties in the Balance: A Time-Series Analysis of Long-Term Trends In Labour and Conservative Support

William T Mishler, Marilyn Hoskin, Roy Fitzgerald

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

22 Scopus citations

Abstract

The electoral domination of the Conservative party during the past decade has been interpreted by many as evidence of a long-term shift in the balance of public support from Labour to the Conservatives, This article argues that such a shift has not occurred. Rather, the stability apparent in recent election results disguises considerable underlying volatility. The balance of public support between the major parties continues to be highly unstable and subject to large and precipitous fluctuations in response to relatively small economic changes and ordinary political events. Recent Conservative victories appear to be the results more of good timing and luck than of any fundamental, long-term dynamic in British politics.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)211-236
Number of pages26
JournalBritish Journal of Political Science
Volume19
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 1989
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Sociology and Political Science

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