Design and implementation of an operational multimodel multiproduct real-time probabilistic streamflow forecasting platform

Tirthankar Roy, Aleix Serrat-Capdevila, Juan Valdes, Matej Durcik, Hoshin Gupta

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

The task of real-time streamflow monitoring and forecasting is particularly challenging for ungauged or sparsely gauged river basins, and largely relies upon satellite-based estimates of precipitation. We present the design and implementation of a state-of-the-art real-time streamflow monitoring and forecasting platform that integrates information provided by cutting-edge satellite precipitation products (SPPs), numerical precipitation forecasts, and multiple hydrologic models, to generate probabilistic streamflow forecasts that have an effective lead time of 9 days. The modular design of the platform enables adding/removing any model/product as may be appropriate. The SPPs are biascorrected in real-time, and the model-generated streamflow forecasts are further bias-corrected and merged, to produce probabilistic forecasts that are computed via several model averaging techniques. The platform is currently operational in multiple river basins in Africa, and can also be adapted to any new basin by incorporating some basin-specific changes and recalibration of the hydrologic models.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)911-919
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of Hydroinformatics
Volume19
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2017

Keywords

  • Bias Correction
  • Mmsf-Rt Platform
  • Probabilistic Model Averaging
  • Real-Time Streamflow Forecasting
  • Satellite Precipitation Products

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Civil and Structural Engineering
  • Water Science and Technology
  • Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology
  • Atmospheric Science

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Design and implementation of an operational multimodel multiproduct real-time probabilistic streamflow forecasting platform'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this