Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction

Wei Hua Lin, Robert L. Bertini

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Many existing algorithms for bus arrival time prediction assume that buses travel at free-flow speed in the absence of congestion. As a result, delay incurred at one stop would propagate to the downstream stops in the same magnitude. In reality, good bus operators often constantly adjust their speeds to keep the bus on schedule. This paper formulates n Markov chain model for bus arrival time prediction that explicitly captures the behavior of bus operators in pursuing schedule recovery. The model exhibits some desirable properties in capturing the schedule recovery process and guarantees provision of the schedule information if realtime information .suddenly becomes unavailable. The proposed model can he embedded into a transit arrival time estimation model for transit information systems.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationIEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages857-862
Number of pages6
Volume2002-January
ISBN (Print)0780373898
DOIs
StatePublished - 2002
Event5th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2002 - Singapore, Singapore
Duration: Sep 3 2002Sep 6 2002

Other

Other5th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2002
CountrySingapore
CitySingapore
Period9/3/029/6/02

Fingerprint

Recovery
Markov processes
Mathematical operators
Information systems

Keywords

  • Advanced vehicle location systems
  • GPS
  • Markov chain model
  • Transit systems

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Automotive Engineering
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Computer Science Applications

Cite this

Lin, W. H., & Bertini, R. L. (2002). Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction. In IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC (Vol. 2002-January, pp. 857-862). [1041332] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/ITSC.2002.1041332

Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction. / Lin, Wei Hua; Bertini, Robert L.

IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC. Vol. 2002-January Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2002. p. 857-862 1041332.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Lin, WH & Bertini, RL 2002, Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction. in IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC. vol. 2002-January, 1041332, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 857-862, 5th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2002, Singapore, Singapore, 9/3/02. https://doi.org/10.1109/ITSC.2002.1041332
Lin WH, Bertini RL. Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction. In IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC. Vol. 2002-January. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2002. p. 857-862. 1041332 https://doi.org/10.1109/ITSC.2002.1041332
Lin, Wei Hua ; Bertini, Robert L. / Modeling schedule recovery processes in transit operations for bus arrival time prediction. IEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC. Vol. 2002-January Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2002. pp. 857-862
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