Modelling rural residential settlement patterns with cellular automata

P. Deadman, R. D. Brown, Randy Gimblett

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

73 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A cellular automaton-based model was developed to predict patterns in the spread of rural residential development in 80km2 of the rural countryside near Toronto, Canada. The model was executed on a computer-based geographic information system (GIS). Planning policies, and from the environmental and social conditions in Puslinch, Wellington County, Ontario. Operating within the time period 1955-1983, the model was run in two scenarios: a static set of rules based on conditions in 1955; and rules that changes as conditions or policies within the township changed. Both scenarios were compared with measured data. Scenario I reproduced the tendency for houses to be developed in high and medium density clustering, but these clusters did not follow the same spatial patterning of the measured data. Scenario 2 resulted in somewhat less clustering of houses, but the spatial patterns of those clusters were smiliar to measured data. The model demonstrated some replicative and predictive validity, and possesses strong structural validity. It has the potential to be run "into the future' to predict the outcome of policy decisions. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationJournal of Environmental Management
Pages147-160
Number of pages14
Volume37
Edition2
StatePublished - 1993

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settlement pattern
cellular automaton
modeling
residential development
environmental conditions
policy

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this

Deadman, P., Brown, R. D., & Gimblett, R. (1993). Modelling rural residential settlement patterns with cellular automata. In Journal of Environmental Management (2 ed., Vol. 37, pp. 147-160)

Modelling rural residential settlement patterns with cellular automata. / Deadman, P.; Brown, R. D.; Gimblett, Randy.

Journal of Environmental Management. Vol. 37 2. ed. 1993. p. 147-160.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Deadman, P, Brown, RD & Gimblett, R 1993, Modelling rural residential settlement patterns with cellular automata. in Journal of Environmental Management. 2 edn, vol. 37, pp. 147-160.
Deadman P, Brown RD, Gimblett R. Modelling rural residential settlement patterns with cellular automata. In Journal of Environmental Management. 2 ed. Vol. 37. 1993. p. 147-160
Deadman, P. ; Brown, R. D. ; Gimblett, Randy. / Modelling rural residential settlement patterns with cellular automata. Journal of Environmental Management. Vol. 37 2. ed. 1993. pp. 147-160
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