Models of defeat

Gary King, Brent Heeringa, David Westbrook, Joe Catalano, Paul R Cohen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Coalition operations are increasingly effects-based, which means they apply force only as necessary to achieve political and psychological effects. Capture the Flag is a wargaming environment that includes intelligent, autonomous adversaries. Our planner previously focused on two goals: occupying objectives and attrition. But attrition is a means to the defeat of one's enemies, not an end in itself. For Capture the Flag to plan for defeat, it needs a model of defeat. We model the "capacity for conflict" as a leaky bucket: when a unit's bucket is full, it has no more capacity for conflict and it capitulates. Flow into and out of the bucket is modulated by several factors including attrition and heroism. The model is inherently dynamical, so it exhibits the time-dependent behaviors one observes in real conflicts; for example, identical attacks will have different effects on capitulation as a function of their timing.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationWinter Simulation Conference Proceedings
EditorsE. Yucesan, C.H. Chen, J.L. Snowdon, J.M. Charnes
Pages928-934
Number of pages7
Volume1
StatePublished - 2002
Externally publishedYes
EventProceedings of the 2002 Winter Simulation Conference - San Diego, CA, United States
Duration: Dec 8 2002Dec 11 2002

Other

OtherProceedings of the 2002 Winter Simulation Conference
CountryUnited States
CitySan Diego, CA
Period12/8/0212/11/02

Fingerprint

Attrition
Coalitions
Timing
Attack
Model
Unit
Necessary
Conflict

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Chemical Health and Safety
  • Software
  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Applied Mathematics
  • Modeling and Simulation

Cite this

King, G., Heeringa, B., Westbrook, D., Catalano, J., & Cohen, P. R. (2002). Models of defeat. In E. Yucesan, C. H. Chen, J. L. Snowdon, & J. M. Charnes (Eds.), Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings (Vol. 1, pp. 928-934)

Models of defeat. / King, Gary; Heeringa, Brent; Westbrook, David; Catalano, Joe; Cohen, Paul R.

Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings. ed. / E. Yucesan; C.H. Chen; J.L. Snowdon; J.M. Charnes. Vol. 1 2002. p. 928-934.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

King, G, Heeringa, B, Westbrook, D, Catalano, J & Cohen, PR 2002, Models of defeat. in E Yucesan, CH Chen, JL Snowdon & JM Charnes (eds), Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings. vol. 1, pp. 928-934, Proceedings of the 2002 Winter Simulation Conference, San Diego, CA, United States, 12/8/02.
King G, Heeringa B, Westbrook D, Catalano J, Cohen PR. Models of defeat. In Yucesan E, Chen CH, Snowdon JL, Charnes JM, editors, Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings. Vol. 1. 2002. p. 928-934
King, Gary ; Heeringa, Brent ; Westbrook, David ; Catalano, Joe ; Cohen, Paul R. / Models of defeat. Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings. editor / E. Yucesan ; C.H. Chen ; J.L. Snowdon ; J.M. Charnes. Vol. 1 2002. pp. 928-934
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