Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis

S. L. Mullen, D. P. Baumhefner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

45 Scopus citations

Abstract

The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1548-1567
Number of pages20
JournalMonthly Weather Review
Volume122
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 1994
Externally publishedYes

    Fingerprint

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

Cite this