Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis

Steven Mullen, D. P. Baumhefner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

45 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The impact of initial condition uncertainty on short-range (0-48 h) simulations of explosive surface cyclogenesis is examined within the context of a perfect model environment. Eleven Monte Carlo simulations are performed on 10 cases of rapid oceanic cyclogenesis that occurred in a long-term, perpetual January integration of a global spectral model. The perturbations used to represent the initial condition error have a magnitude and spatial decomposition that closely matches estimates of global analysis error. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1548-1567
Number of pages20
JournalMonthly Weather Review
Volume122
Issue number7
StatePublished - 1994
Externally publishedYes

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cyclogenesis
explosive
error analysis
simulation
perturbation
decomposition

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Atmospheric Science

Cite this

Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis. / Mullen, Steven; Baumhefner, D. P.

In: Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 122, No. 7, 1994, p. 1548-1567.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Mullen, S & Baumhefner, DP 1994, 'Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis', Monthly Weather Review, vol. 122, no. 7, pp. 1548-1567.
Mullen, Steven ; Baumhefner, D. P. / Monte Carlo simulations of explosive cyclogenesis. In: Monthly Weather Review. 1994 ; Vol. 122, No. 7. pp. 1548-1567.
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