Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

151 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The incidence of measles in New York City and Baltimore was studied using recently developed techniques in nonlinear dynamics. The data, monthly case reports for the years 1928-1963, suggest almost two dimensional, chaotic flows whose essential attributes are captured by one dimensional, unimodal maps. The effects of noise, inevitable in ecological and epidemiological systems are discussed.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)403-427
Number of pages25
JournalJournal of Theoretical Biology
Volume112
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 21 1985

Fingerprint

Unimodal Map
Baltimore
Nonlinear Dynamics
Measles
angle of incidence
Ecosystem
Noise
Incidence
Attribute
case studies
methodology

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)
  • Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology(all)
  • Immunology and Microbiology(all)
  • Applied Mathematics
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Medicine(all)

Cite this

Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic. / Schaffer, William M; Kot, Mark.

In: Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol. 112, No. 2, 21.01.1985, p. 403-427.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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