On predicting the response of forests in eastern North America to future climatic change

Edward R. Cook, Julia Cole

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

52 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Our ability to accurately predict the response of forests in eastern North America to future climatic change is limited by our knowledge of how different tree species respond to climate. When the climatic response of eastern hemlock is modeled across its range, we find that the assumed climatic response used in simulation models is not sufficient to explain how this species is presently responding to climate. This is also the case for red spruce growing in the northern Appalachian Mountains. Consequently, simulations of future change to forests that include eastern hemlock and red spruce may need to be improved. We suspect that similar findings will be made when other tree species are studied in detail using tree-ring analysis. If so, our present understanding of how individual tree species respond to climate may not be adequate for accurately predicting future changes to these forests. Tree-ring analysis can increase our understanding of how climate affects tree growth in eastern North America and, hence, provide the knowledge necessary to produce more accurate predictions.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)271-282
Number of pages12
JournalClimatic Change
Volume19
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 1991
Externally publishedYes

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climate change
climate
tree ring
simulation
mountain
North America
prediction
analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Global and Planetary Change
  • Environmental Chemistry
  • Environmental Science(all)
  • Atmospheric Science

Cite this

On predicting the response of forests in eastern North America to future climatic change. / Cook, Edward R.; Cole, Julia.

In: Climatic Change, Vol. 19, No. 3, 10.1991, p. 271-282.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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