Parameter estimation from ICC curves

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Incidence vs. Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological model, consisting of susceptible, infected, and removed compartments. This novel methodology is used to estimate the basic reproduction ratio of recent outbreaks, including those associated with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)195-212
Number of pages18
JournalJournal of biological dynamics
Volume15
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 2021

Keywords

  • Outbreak
  • compartmental models
  • parameter identification

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
  • Ecology

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