Predicting adolescent problem use of marijuana: Development and testing of a bayesian model

David H. Gustafson, Laura K Bosworth, Catherine Treece, Yu Cherng Wu, Christina G S Palmer, D. Paul Moberg, Robert P. Hawkins

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper reports on the development and testing of a risk assessment index for problem marijuana use designed to guide teenagers through an extensive computer-based support system intended to help them improve marijuana-related behaviors. Bayesian decision theory, used as the basis of the index development process, offers the advantage of building the index on subjective judgments of experts and does not require a large empirical data base. The index was found to predict an independent panel's ratings of teenager risk, and predict the marijuana use of 10th graders using self-reports of their profiles in the 7th grade. Implications for future risk assessment developments are discussed.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)861-886
Number of pages26
JournalSubstance Use and Misuse
Volume29
Issue number7
DOIs
StatePublished - 1994
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Cannabis
adolescent
Decision Theory
risk assessment
decision theory
Self Report
Databases
school grade
rating
expert

Keywords

  • Decision theory
  • Development and testing
  • Marijuana
  • Prediction
  • Risk

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Psychiatry and Mental health
  • Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
  • Health(social science)
  • Medicine (miscellaneous)

Cite this

Gustafson, D. H., Bosworth, L. K., Treece, C., Wu, Y. C., Palmer, C. G. S., Moberg, D. P., & Hawkins, R. P. (1994). Predicting adolescent problem use of marijuana: Development and testing of a bayesian model. Substance Use and Misuse, 29(7), 861-886. https://doi.org/10.3109/10826089409047915

Predicting adolescent problem use of marijuana : Development and testing of a bayesian model. / Gustafson, David H.; Bosworth, Laura K; Treece, Catherine; Wu, Yu Cherng; Palmer, Christina G S; Moberg, D. Paul; Hawkins, Robert P.

In: Substance Use and Misuse, Vol. 29, No. 7, 1994, p. 861-886.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Gustafson, David H. ; Bosworth, Laura K ; Treece, Catherine ; Wu, Yu Cherng ; Palmer, Christina G S ; Moberg, D. Paul ; Hawkins, Robert P. / Predicting adolescent problem use of marijuana : Development and testing of a bayesian model. In: Substance Use and Misuse. 1994 ; Vol. 29, No. 7. pp. 861-886.
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