Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests

Bruce G. Marcot, Matthew P. Thompson, Michael C. Runge, Frank R. Thompson, Steven McNulty, David Cleaves, Monica Tomosy, Lawrence A Fisher, Andrew Bliss

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

37 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Management of federal public forests to meet sustainability goals and multiple use regulations is an immense challenge. To succeed, we suggest use of formal decision science procedures and tools in the context of structured decision making (SDM). SDM entails four stages: problem structuring (framing the problem and defining objectives and evaluation criteria), problem analysis (defining alternatives, evaluating likely consequences, identifying key uncertainties, and analyzing tradeoffs), decision point (identifying the preferred alternative), and implementation and monitoring the preferred alternative with adaptive management feedbacks. We list a wide array of models, techniques, and tools available for each stage, and provide three case studies of their selected use in National Forest land management and project plans. Successful use of SDM involves participation by decision-makers, analysts, scientists, and stakeholders. We suggest specific areas for training and instituting SDM to foster transparency, rigor, clarity, and inclusiveness in formal decision processes regarding management of national forests.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)123-132
Number of pages10
JournalForest Ecology and Management
Volume285
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2012

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national forests
decision making
multiple use
adaptive management
land management
transparency
stakeholders
stakeholder
uncertainty
sustainability
case studies
science
decision
monitoring
methodology

Keywords

  • Adaptive management
  • Decision support
  • Land-management planning
  • Risk analysis
  • Risk management
  • Structured decision making

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Forestry
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
  • Nature and Landscape Conservation

Cite this

Marcot, B. G., Thompson, M. P., Runge, M. C., Thompson, F. R., McNulty, S., Cleaves, D., ... Bliss, A. (2012). Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests. Forest Ecology and Management, 285, 123-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2012.08.024

Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests. / Marcot, Bruce G.; Thompson, Matthew P.; Runge, Michael C.; Thompson, Frank R.; McNulty, Steven; Cleaves, David; Tomosy, Monica; Fisher, Lawrence A; Bliss, Andrew.

In: Forest Ecology and Management, Vol. 285, 01.12.2012, p. 123-132.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Marcot, BG, Thompson, MP, Runge, MC, Thompson, FR, McNulty, S, Cleaves, D, Tomosy, M, Fisher, LA & Bliss, A 2012, 'Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests', Forest Ecology and Management, vol. 285, pp. 123-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2012.08.024
Marcot BG, Thompson MP, Runge MC, Thompson FR, McNulty S, Cleaves D et al. Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests. Forest Ecology and Management. 2012 Dec 1;285:123-132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2012.08.024
Marcot, Bruce G. ; Thompson, Matthew P. ; Runge, Michael C. ; Thompson, Frank R. ; McNulty, Steven ; Cleaves, David ; Tomosy, Monica ; Fisher, Lawrence A ; Bliss, Andrew. / Recent advances in applying decision science to managing national forests. In: Forest Ecology and Management. 2012 ; Vol. 285. pp. 123-132.
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