Scenario development for water resources planning and management

Steven Stewart, Mohammed Mahmoud, Yuqiong Liu, Holly Hartmann, Thorsten Wagener, Hoshin Gupta

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

We report progress on a novel effort to develop a unified framework for constructing scenarios for water resource management. The framework comprises five iterative phases: scenario definition, scenario construction, scenario analysis, scenario assessment, and risk management. While the scenario framework can be applied to most water resource applications, we place particular emphasis on semiarid environments and forces not typicallyconsidered in the traditional water management process such as unforeseen changes in government institutions, or second-order effects of climate change on environmental systemsThemain objective of scenario development for water resources is to inform policy-makersabout the implications of various water management strategies. In addition, scenarioscanconsider the possible effects of external drivers, such as changes in political institutions, or large-scale environmental change that may be especially important in developingcountries.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationIAHS-AISH Publication - Changes in Water Resources Systems
Subtitle of host publicationMethodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management
Pages192-198
Number of pages7
Edition315
StatePublished - Dec 1 2007
EventInternational Symposium: Changes in Water Resources Systems: Methodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management - 24th General Assemly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) - Perugia, Italy
Duration: Jul 2 2007Jul 13 2007

Publication series

NameIAHS-AISH Publication
Number315
ISSN (Print)0144-7815

Other

OtherInternational Symposium: Changes in Water Resources Systems: Methodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management - 24th General Assemly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
CountryItaly
CityPerugia
Period7/2/077/13/07

Keywords

  • Modelling
  • Planning
  • Projections
  • Scenarios
  • Stakeholder
  • Uncertainty
  • Water resources

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)

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  • Cite this

    Stewart, S., Mahmoud, M., Liu, Y., Hartmann, H., Wagener, T., & Gupta, H. (2007). Scenario development for water resources planning and management. In IAHS-AISH Publication - Changes in Water Resources Systems: Methodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management (315 ed., pp. 192-198). (IAHS-AISH Publication; No. 315).