Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: Enabling the effective use of multiple methods

Jonathan Star, Erika L. Rowland, Mary E. Black, Carolyn A.F. Enquist, Gregg Garfin, Catherine Hawkins Hoffman, Holly Hartmann, Katharine L. Jacobs, Richard H. Moss, Anne M. Waple

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

21 Scopus citations

Abstract

Scenario planning is a technique used to inform decision-making under uncertainty, and is increasingly applied in the field of climate change adaptation and policy. This paper describes applications that combine previously distinct scenario methods in new and innovative ways. It draws on numerous recent independent case studies to illustrate emerging practices, such as far stronger connections between researcher-driven and participatory approaches and cycling between exploratory and normative perspectives. The paper concludes with a call for greater support for, and collaboration among, practitioners with the argument that mixed methods are most effective for decision-making in the context of climate change challenges.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)88-94
Number of pages7
JournalClimate Risk Management
Volume13
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2016

Keywords

  • Climate adaptation
  • Scenario planning

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Global and Planetary Change
  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Atmospheric Science
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: Enabling the effective use of multiple methods'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Star, J., Rowland, E. L., Black, M. E., Enquist, C. A. F., Garfin, G., Hoffman, C. H., Hartmann, H., Jacobs, K. L., Moss, R. H., & Waple, A. M. (2016). Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: Enabling the effective use of multiple methods. Climate Risk Management, 13, 88-94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2016.08.001