Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: Enabling the effective use of multiple methods

Jonathan Star, Erika L. Rowland, Mary E. Black, Carolyn A F Enquist, Gregg Garfin, Catherine Hawkins Hoffman, Holly Hartmann, Katharine Jacobs, Richard H. Moss, Anne M. Waple

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

20 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Scenario planning is a technique used to inform decision-making under uncertainty, and is increasingly applied in the field of climate change adaptation and policy. This paper describes applications that combine previously distinct scenario methods in new and innovative ways. It draws on numerous recent independent case studies to illustrate emerging practices, such as far stronger connections between researcher-driven and participatory approaches and cycling between exploratory and normative perspectives. The paper concludes with a call for greater support for, and collaboration among, practitioners with the argument that mixed methods are most effective for decision-making in the context of climate change challenges.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)88-94
Number of pages7
JournalClimate Risk Management
Volume13
DOIs
StatePublished - 2016

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climate change
decision making
scenario
participatory approach
planning
uncertainty
method
decision
climate change adaptation
policy

Keywords

  • Climate adaptation
  • Scenario planning

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Global and Planetary Change
  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Atmospheric Science
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this

Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning : Enabling the effective use of multiple methods. / Star, Jonathan; Rowland, Erika L.; Black, Mary E.; Enquist, Carolyn A F; Garfin, Gregg; Hoffman, Catherine Hawkins; Hartmann, Holly; Jacobs, Katharine; Moss, Richard H.; Waple, Anne M.

In: Climate Risk Management, Vol. 13, 2016, p. 88-94.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Star, Jonathan ; Rowland, Erika L. ; Black, Mary E. ; Enquist, Carolyn A F ; Garfin, Gregg ; Hoffman, Catherine Hawkins ; Hartmann, Holly ; Jacobs, Katharine ; Moss, Richard H. ; Waple, Anne M. / Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning : Enabling the effective use of multiple methods. In: Climate Risk Management. 2016 ; Vol. 13. pp. 88-94.
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