The future of hydrology: An evolving science for a changing world

Thorsten Wagener, Murugesu Sivapalan, Peter A Troch, Brian L. McGlynn, Ciaran J. Harman, Hoshin Vijai Gupta, Praveen Kumar, P. Suresh C Rao, Nandita B. Basu, Jennifer S. Wilson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

304 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Human activities exert global-scale impacts on our environment with significant implications for freshwater-driven services and hazards for humans and nature. Our approach to the science of hydrology needs to significantly change so that we can understand and predict these implications. Such an adjustment is a necessary prerequisite for the development of sustainable water resource management strategies and to achieve long-term water security for people and the environment. Hydrology requires a paradigm shift in which predictions of system behavior that are beyond the range of previously observed variability or that result from significant alterations of physical (structural) system characteristics become the new norm. To achieve this shift, hydrologists must become both synthesists, observing and analyzing the system as a holistic entity, and analysts, understanding the functioning of individual system components, while operating firmly within a well-designed hypothesis testing framework. Cross-disciplinary integration must become a primary characteristic of hydrologic research, catalyzing new research and nurturing new educational models. The test of our quantitative understanding across atmosphere, hydrosphere, lithosphere, biosphere, and anthroposphere will necessarily lie in new approaches to benchmark our ability to predict the regional hydrologic and connected implications of environmental change. To address these challenges and to serve as a catalyst to bring about the necessary changes to hydrologic science, we call for a long-term initiative to address the regional implications of environmental change.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalWater Resources Research
Volume46
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2010

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environmental change
hydrology
hydrosphere
paradigm shift
hypothesis testing
biosphere
lithosphere
human activity
catalyst
hazard
atmosphere
prediction
water
science
norm
water resources management
test
services

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Water Science and Technology

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The future of hydrology : An evolving science for a changing world. / Wagener, Thorsten; Sivapalan, Murugesu; Troch, Peter A; McGlynn, Brian L.; Harman, Ciaran J.; Gupta, Hoshin Vijai; Kumar, Praveen; Rao, P. Suresh C; Basu, Nandita B.; Wilson, Jennifer S.

In: Water Resources Research, Vol. 46, No. 5, 05.2010.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Wagener, T, Sivapalan, M, Troch, PA, McGlynn, BL, Harman, CJ, Gupta, HV, Kumar, P, Rao, PSC, Basu, NB & Wilson, JS 2010, 'The future of hydrology: An evolving science for a changing world', Water Resources Research, vol. 46, no. 5. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008906
Wagener, Thorsten ; Sivapalan, Murugesu ; Troch, Peter A ; McGlynn, Brian L. ; Harman, Ciaran J. ; Gupta, Hoshin Vijai ; Kumar, Praveen ; Rao, P. Suresh C ; Basu, Nandita B. ; Wilson, Jennifer S. / The future of hydrology : An evolving science for a changing world. In: Water Resources Research. 2010 ; Vol. 46, No. 5.
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