Time-to-event modeling for predicting hacker IRC community participant trajectory

Victor Benjamin, Hsinchun Chen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

11 Scopus citations

Abstract

As computing and communication technologies become ubiquitous throughout society, researchers and practitioners have become motivated to advance current cybersecurity capabilities. In particular, research on the human element behind cybercrime would offer new knowledge on securing cyberspace against those with malicious intent. Past work documents the existence of many hacker communities with participants sharing various cybercriminal assets and knowledge. However, participants vary in expertise, with some possessing only passing curiosity while others are capable cybercriminals. Here we develop a time-to-event based approach for assessing the relationship between various participation behaviors and participation length among hacker Internet Relay Chat (IRC) community participants. Using both the Kaplan-Meier model and Cox's model, we are able to develop predictions on individuals' participation trajectorybased on a series of message content and social network features. Results indicate that participation volume, discussion of pertinent topics, and social interconnectedness are all important at varying levels for identifying participants within hacker communities that have potential to become adept cybercriminals.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2014 IEEE Joint Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, JISIC 2014
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages25-32
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9781479963645
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 4 2014
Event2014 IEEE Joint Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, JISIC 2014 - The Hague, Netherlands
Duration: Sep 24 2014Sep 26 2014

Publication series

NameProceedings - 2014 IEEE Joint Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, JISIC 2014

Other

Other2014 IEEE Joint Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, JISIC 2014
CountryNetherlands
CityThe Hague
Period9/24/149/26/14

Keywords

  • Cybersecurity
  • Hacker IRC
  • Hacker community
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time-to-event

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Information Systems
  • Software

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  • Cite this

    Benjamin, V., & Chen, H. (2014). Time-to-event modeling for predicting hacker IRC community participant trajectory. In Proceedings - 2014 IEEE Joint Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, JISIC 2014 (pp. 25-32). [6975550] (Proceedings - 2014 IEEE Joint Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, JISIC 2014). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/JISIC.2014.14