Towards Process-based Range Modeling of Many Species

Margaret E K Evans, Cory Merow, Sydne Record, Sean M. McMahon, Brian J. Enquist

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

49 Scopus citations

Abstract

Understanding and forecasting species’ geographic distributions in the face of global change is a central priority in biodiversity science. The existing view is that one must choose between correlative models for many species versus process-based models for few species. We suggest that opportunities exist to produce process-based range models for many species, by using hierarchical and inverse modeling to borrow strength across species, fill data gaps, fuse diverse data sets, and model across biological and spatial scales. We review the statistical ecology and population and range modeling literature, illustrating these modeling strategies in action. A variety of large, coordinated ecological datasets that can feed into these modeling solutions already exist, and we highlight organisms that seem ripe for the challenge.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)860-871
Number of pages12
JournalTrends in Ecology and Evolution
Volume31
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 1 2016

Keywords

  • data fusion
  • ecological forecasting
  • hierarchical model
  • inverse modeling
  • species distribution models

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

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